May pendings – a strong leading indicator of real estate

The May pending numbers are in for Camarillo, Ventura and Oxnard. Camarillo continues on about the same as in May 2007 but Oxnard continues to be white hot in homes that are in escrow! Ventura is seeing a fair spike in activity.

The National Association of Realtors came out with this statement today:

“PENDING HOME SALES UP 6.3 PERCENT IN APRIL
The number of pending sales contracts for existing homes rose 6.3 percent in April, according to the latest Pending Homes Sales Index from NAR. The Index rose to 88.2 in April, up from 83 in March.

’Pending sales contracts have picked up notably in areas undergoing significant price drops,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist “Bargain hunters have entered the market en masse, especially in areas that have experienced double-digit price declines, but it’s unclear if they are investors or owner-occupants.’”

Filed under article topic: 2008 Pendings
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“Moral hazard” – the great debate in foreclosures

At the beginning of this year there was great hand wringing over the sub-prime mess and the havoc it was (and still is) creating. Pundits have called our current financial crisis the biggest crisis since the Great Depression. There was great demand for Congress to “do something”, thus Congress kicked into gear (for example, limits were temporarily raised on FHA loans to make them available to high priced places like California).

But some ideas being floated around Congress are generating intense philosophical debate, namely the concept of “moral hazard”. Moral hazard is an insurance term, used to describe how people possibly may behave under certain circumstances. Read the rest of this article »

Filed under article topic: The Economy/Economics,The Fed & Housing policy
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First time homebuyer workshop on May 31st – update report

The morning was sunny and clear and about a dozen folks attended a First Time Homebuyer Workshop on May 31st. It was held in our office on County Square Drive in Ventura. Don and Leslie taught the workshop and covered the numerous aspects of the money involved in getting a loan, credit scores, qualifying yourself for a loan, common types of loans for entry level buyers, short pays and REOs, the Residential Purchase Agreement (RPA), and escrow. To wrap up our time, two past clients shared their “in the trenches” real life experiences and thoughts as they were buying their first homes.

In June, we’ll be having another homebuyer workshop and also another REO “speed dating” caravan of foreclosed homes – this time in the North Oxnard area around St. John’s Hospital. Stay tuned…

Filed under article topic: Home buyers
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